Ikoranabuhanga rigezweho riri gutsindwa k’urugamba, Intambara iri gufata indi ntera mu karere k’Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati
Amashusho akomeje gukwirakwira ku mbuga nkoranyambaga agaragaza ibisasu bya misile bivugwa ko byoherejwe na Iran bigerageza guca mu bwirinzi bukomeye bwa Israel. Ibi byongeye gutuma hibazwa ku bushobozi nyakuri bw’ubwirinzi bwa gisirikare bw’ibihugu bifite ikoranabuhanga rihanitse.
Israel izwiho kugira zimwe mu ntwaro z’ubwirinzi zigezweho ku isi, cyane cyane uburyo bwo guhangana n’ibisasu byo mu kirere buzwi nka Iron Dome, bufasha gufata no gusenya misile zikiri mu kirere. Nubwo bimeze bityo, amashusho amwe n’amwe agaragaza ko hari misile zishobora gucika ubwo bwirinzi, zikagera ku butaka zigateza ibyago bikomeye.
Ibi birashimangira ko, nubwo ikoranabuhanga rikomeje gutera imbere, nta burinzi bwuzuye ijana ku ijana bushoboka, cyane cyane mu gihe ibitero bikorwa mu buryo bwinshi icyarimwe (saturation attacks), aho misile na drones nyinshi byoherezwa icyarimwe bigamije kurenza ubushobozi bw’ubwirinzi.
Mu itangazo ryasohowe n’umuvugizi w’ingabo za Iran, yavuze ko mu cyiciro gishya cy’ibikorwa bya gisirikare byiswe “Operation True Promise 4”, hifashishijwe misile n’indege zitagira abapilote (drones) mu kugaba ibitero ku nyungu za Amerika na Israel mu karere. Yongeyeho ko ibi bitero bizakomeza kugeza “abanzi batsinzwe burundu”, amagambo agaragaza gukaza umurego w’uyu mwuka w’intambara.
Ku rundi ruhande, amakuru aturuka mu itangazamakuru mpuzamahanga agaragaza ko ibihugu byo mu karere ka Gulf — birimo Saudi Arabia, Leta Zunze Ubumwe z’Abarabu (UAE), Kuwait na Bahrain — byatangiye guhindura imyumvire ku ruhare rwa Amerika muri iyi ntambara.
Mu ntangiriro, ibi bihugu byagaragaje impungenge ku ngaruka z’intambara yeruye hagati ya Amerika na Iran, cyane cyane ku mutekano w’akarere n’ubukungu bushingiye ku bikomoka kuri peteroli. Ariko nyuma y’ibitero byibasiye inyungu zabyo cyangwa iz’inshuti zabyo, hari ibimenyetso bigaragaza ko imyumvire iri guhinduka, aho bamwe batangiye gushyigikira igitekerezo cyo gukaza igitutu kuri Iran.
Nubwo bimeze bityo, ni ingenzi kugaragaza ko aya makuru menshi akiri mu rwego rwa raporo z’itangazamakuru, kuko nta byemezo byatangajwe ku mugaragaro n’izo leta birebana no kwinjira mu ntambara mu buryo bweruye.
Icyakora, ishusho rusange igenda igaragara ni uko iyi ntambara itakiri ikibazo cya Iran, Israel na Amerika gusa, ahubwo iri kugenda ihindura imiterere y’umutekano n’imibanire ya dipolomasi mu karere kose k’Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati.
Mu gihe ibitero n’ibisubizo byabyo bikomeje kwiyongera, impungenge ku kwaguka kw’iyi ntambara ku rwego rw’akarere cyangwa mpuzamahanga zirushaho gukaza umurego. Abasesenguzi bagaragaza ko, niba nta nzira ya dipolomasi yihuse ibonetse, iyi myitwarire ishobora guteza umutekano muke urambye, ufite ingaruka zikomeye ku isi yose.