Israel mu Matora Akomeye: Ese Netanyahu Araza Gutakaza Ubutegetsi? Dore Uwo Bahanganye n’Amateka Yabo
MINEMBWE CAPITAL NEWS (MCN)
Israel irimo gukora amatora rusange y’abadepite uyu munsi tariki ya 27/10/2026, ashobora kugena niba Minisitiri w’Intebe, Benjamin Netanyahu, azakomeza kuyobora igihugu cyangwa niba amashyaka atavuga rumwe na we azashobora gushyiraho guverinoma nshya. Gadi Eisenkot, wahoze ari umugaba mukuru w’ingabo za Israel, ari mu banyapolitiki bakomeye bahanganye na Netanyahu.
Aya matora abaye mu gihe Israel ihanganye n’ingaruka z’intambara zo mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati, impaka ku mutekano w’igihugu, imikorere y’ingabo n’ibibazo by’ubukungu. Raporo y’Ikigo gishinzwe ubushakashatsi cy’Inteko Ishinga Amategeko y’Umuryango w’Ubumwe bw’u Burayi (EPRS), yasohotse ku itariki ya 15/10/2026, yagaragaje ko ibipimo by’amatora bitari byemeza ko uruhande urwo ari rwo rwose ruzabona ubwiganze bukenewe kugira ngo rushyireho guverinoma.
Uko amatora agena uzayobora Israel
Abaturage ba Israel batora abadepite 120 bagize Inteko Ishinga Amategeko izwi nka Knesset. Ntibatora Minisitiri w’Intebe mu buryo butaziguye, ahubwo batora amashyaka, hanyuma imyanya ayo mashyaka abonye ikagira uruhare mu biganiro byo gushyiraho guverinoma.
Kugira ngo ihuriro ry’amashyaka rigire ubwiganze mu Nteko, rigomba kugira abadepite nibura 61 kuri 120 barishyigikiye. Nyuma y’amatora, Perezida wa Israel agirana ibiganiro n’abahagarariye amashyaka, maze agaha umudepite amahirwe yo kugerageza gushyiraho guverinoma.
Ibi bivuze ko ishyaka rishobora kubona imyanya myinshi kurusha ayandi ariko ntirishobore kuyobora igihugu, mu gihe irindi rifite abafatanyabikorwa bahagije rishobora gushyiraho guverinoma.
Netanyahu n’ihuriro rye
Benjamin Netanyahu ayoboye ishyaka Likud, riharanira politiki y’uruhande rw’iburyo. Mu mashyaka asanzwe afatanya na ryo harimo Shas, United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit na Religious Zionism.
Netanyahu ashyira imbere umutekano w’igihugu, kongera ubushobozi bw’ingabo, guhangana n’imitwe Israel ibona nk’iy’iterabwoba no gukomeza umubano n’ibihugu by’inshuti, cyane cyane Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika.
Icyakora, ubuyobozi bwe bunengwa ku bibazo birimo igitero cya Hamas cyo ku itariki ya 07/10/2023 n’ingaruka z’intambara yakurikiyeho. Yanenzwe kandi ku bijyanye no kubazwa inshingano ku makosa y’umutekano ndetse no ku birego bya ruswa ahakana.
Abamushyigikiye bashimangira uburambe bwe mu miyoborere no mu mubano mpuzamahanga. Ku rundi ruhande, abamunenga basaba impinduka mu miyoborere no kubazwa inshingano ku bibazo by’umutekano.
Gadi Eisenkot n’amashyaka atavuga rumwe na Netanyahu
Gadi Eisenkot, wahoze ari umugaba mukuru w’ingabo za Israel, ayoboye ishyaka Yashar, riharanira politiki yo hagati. Ari mu banyapolitiki bakomeye bahanganye na Netanyahu muri aya matora.
Mu byo ashyira imbere harimo kuvugurura imikorere y’inzego za Leta, kongera kubazwa inshingano ku makosa y’umutekano no guhindura zimwe muri politiki za guverinoma iriho.
Ikindi kibazo ashimangira ni icy’ubusonerwe bwo kujya mu gisirikare buhabwa bamwe mu Bayahudi b’abahezanguni mu by’idini. Ashyigikiye ko inshingano zo gukorera igihugu zisangirwa n’abaturage mu buryo buboneye.
Icyakora, amashyaka atavuga rumwe na Netanyahu ntabwo ari ihuriro rimwe ryunze ubumwe. Harimo Yashar ya Eisenkot, ihuriro Together riyobowe na Naftali Bennett na Yair Lapid, ishyaka Yisrael Beiteinu rya Avigdor Lieberman n’ishyaka Democrats rya Yair Golan.
Nubwo ayo mashyaka ahuriye ku kutavuga rumwe na Netanyahu, ashobora kutumvikana ku miterere ya guverinoma nshya no ku byemezo bya politiki izashyira imbere. Ikindi ni uko amashyaka akomeye atavuga rumwe na we adashyigikiye ko yifatanya mu ihuriro rya guverinoma n’amashyaka y’Abarabu, bikaba bishobora kuyagora kubona ubwiganze bw’abadepite 61.
Ibipimo by’amatora bigaragaza iki?
Ibipimo by’amatora byatangajwe mbere y’itariki y’itora byagaragazaga ko Yashar ya Eisenkot na Likud ya Netanyahu ari yo mashyaka yari ahanganye cyane.
Ubushakashatsi bwakozwe mu minsi ibanziriza amatora bwagiye butanga imibare itandukanye. Bimwe byagaragazaga ko Yashar ishobora kubona imyanya myinshi kurusha Likud, mu gihe ibindi byagaragazaga ko ayo mashyaka ashobora kwegerana mu myanya azabona.
Iyi mibare ni ibiteganyijwe hashingiwe ku bushakashatsi, si imyanya yemejwe n’amajwi y’abatoye. Nta ruhande rwari rwizeye kubona ubwiganze bw’abadepite 61 rwonyine, bityo imyanya amashyaka mato azabona n’amasezerano azakorwa nyuma y’amatora bishobora kugira uruhare rukomeye mu kugena uzashyiraho guverinoma.
Nubwo ishyaka rya Eisenkot ryabona imyanya myinshi kurusha Likud, ntibihita bivuga ko azaba Minisitiri w’Intebe. Netanyahu na we ashobora gukomeza kuyobora niba abashije kubona abafatanyabikorwa bahagije mu Nteko.
Netanyahu amaze igihe kingana iki ku butegetsi?
Benjamin Netanyahu ni umwe mu bayobozi bamaze igihe kirekire ari ba Minisitiri b’Intebe ba Israel.
Yabaye Minisitiri w’Intebe bwa mbere kuva mu 1996 kugeza mu 1999. Yongeye kugaruka ku butegetsi mu 2009, ayobora igihugu kugeza mu 2021. Yongeye kuba Minisitiri w’Intebe mu kwezi kwa 12/2022, akomeza kuyobora guverinoma kugeza mu gihe cy’amatora yo ku itariki ya 27/10/2026.
Hateranyijwe ibihe byose yamaze kuri uwo mwanya, Netanyahu amaze hafi imyaka 19 ari Minisitiri w’Intebe, nubwo atayoboye muri manda zikurikirana.
Mu gihe cye ku butegetsi, yashyigikiye ivugurura ry’ubukungu rigamije kongera ishoramari no guteza imbere uruhare rw’abikorera. Mu 2020, guverinoma ye yagize uruhare mu masezerano ya Abraham, yatumye Israel ishyiraho umubano usanzwe na Leta Zunze Ubumwe z’Abarabu na Bahrain.
Mu bijyanye n’umutekano, yashyize imbere kongera ubushobozi bw’ingabo za Israel no guhangana n’ibyo guverinoma ye ibona nk’ibyago biterwa na Iran n’imitwe yitwaje intwaro ikorera mu karere.
Icyakora, yanenzwe ku ivugurura ry’ubutabera ryateje imyigaragambyo, ku kibazo cy’ubusonerwe bwo kujya mu gisirikare buhabwa bamwe mu Bayahudi b’abahezanguni mu by’idini no ku birego bya ruswa ahakana.
Ibibazo bizategereza guverinoma nshya
Umutekano w’igihugu, imikorere y’ingabo, ubukungu, ubusonerwe bwo kujya mu gisirikare n’imibanire na Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika biri mu bibazo bikomeye bizategereza guverinoma izashyirwaho.
Israel kandi ikomeje guhangana n’ingaruka z’intambara zo mu karere, zirimo umubano wayo na Iran n’icyerekezo cy’umutekano muri Gaza. Ibyemezo bya guverinoma nshya bishobora kugira ingaruka ku mibanire y’iki gihugu n’ibindi byo mu karere, ndetse no ku biganiro mpuzamahanga bigamije gushaka umutekano.
Ese Netanyahu ashobora gukomeza kuyobora?
Ibyo bizaterwa n’imyanya amashyaka azabona mu Nteko n’amasezerano azakorwa nyuma y’itora. Niba ihuriro rya Netanyahu ribonye abadepite nibura 61 barishyigikiye, ashobora gukomeza kuyobora guverinoma. Niba amashyaka atavuga rumwe na we abashije guhuriza hamwe ubwiganze bukenewe, ashobora gusimburwa.
Iyo nta ruhande rubonye ubwiganze, ibiganiro byo gushyiraho guverinoma bishobora kumara igihe. Mu gihe abagerageza kuyishyiraho bananiwe, Israel ishobora gukomeza kugira guverinoma y’inzibacyuho kugeza habonetse igisubizo cya politiki cyangwa hakajyaho andi matora.
Amatora yo kuri iyi tariki ya 27/10/2026 ni ikizamini gikomeye ku buyobozi bwa Benjamin Netanyahu no ku mashyaka aharanira impinduka. Gadi Eisenkot ari mu bahanganye na we bakomeye, ariko uzayobora guverinoma nshya azaterwa n’imyanya amashyaka azabona mu Nteko n’ubushobozi bwo kugirana amasezerano n’andi mashyaka.
Minembwe Capital News (MCN)