Netanyahu Yatsinze Amatora, Ariko Yabuze Ubutegetsi: Amajwi 19 y’Abarabu Ashobora Guhindura Politiki ya Israel!
MINEMBWE CAPITAL NEWS (MCN)
Amatora y’Inteko Ishinga Amategeko ya Israel yabaye ku itariki ya 27/10/2026, yarangiye igihugu gisigaranye ikibazo gikomeye cya politiki, nyuma y’uko ihuriro ry’amashyaka rishyigikiye Minisitiri w’Intebe, Benjamin Netanyahu, ritabashije kubona ubwiganze bukenewe kugira ngo rikomeze kuyobora igihugu.
Nubwo ishyaka rya Likud riyobowe na Netanyahu ryabaye irya mbere mu mashyaka yose yitabiriye amatora, amajwi n’imyanya byabonwe n’ihuriro rimushyigikiye ntibyabashije kugera ku mubare ukenewe kugira ngo rishyireho Guverinoma ryonyine.
Ku rundi ruhande, amashyaka atavuga rumwe na Netanyahu na yo ntiyabonye ubwiganze. Ibi byatumye amashyaka ahagarariye Abarabu bo muri Israel agira uruhare rukomeye mu mibare y’imyanya ishobora kugena ishyirwaho rya Guverinoma nshya.
Uko amatora yagenze n’imibare y’imyanya yabonetse
Israel ifite Inteko Ishinga Amategeko izwi nka Knesset, igizwe n’abadepite 120. Kugira ngo ishyaka cyangwa ihuriro ry’amashyaka ribashe gushyiraho Guverinoma rifite ubwiganze, rigomba kugira nibura imyanya 61.
Ibyavuye mu ibarura rya nyuma ry’amajwi byagaragaje ko ihuriro rishyigikiye Netanyahu ryabonye imyanya 53, mu gihe ihuriro ry’amashyaka atavuga rumwe na we ryabonye 48. Amashyaka ahagarariye Abarabu yo yabonye imyanya 19.
Ibi bisobanuye ko nta ruhande rwabashije kugera ku bwiganze busabwa. Ihuriro rya Netanyahu ryabuze imyanya umunani, mu gihe irimurwanya ryabuze 13 kugira ngo rigere kuri 61.
Likud ya Netanyahu ni yo yagize amajwi menshi
Ishyaka rya Likud riyobowe na Benjamin Netanyahu ni ryo ryagize amajwi menshi kurusha andi mashyaka yose yitabiriye aya matora.
Ryabonye amajwi 1,167,458, angana na 20.52% by’amajwi yemewe, ribona imyanya 27 muri Knesset.
Likud yakurikiwe n’ishyaka rya Yashar riyobowe na Gadi Eisenkot, wahoze ari umugaba mukuru w’ingabo za Israel. Iri shyaka ryabonye amajwi 913,502, angana na 16.05%, rihabwa imyanya 21.
Ishyaka B’Yachad, rihuriweho na Naftali Bennett na Yair Lapid, ryabonye amajwi 531,476, angana na 9.34%, rihabwa imyanya 12.
Joint List, ihagarariye inyungu za bamwe mu baturage b’Abarabu bo muri Israel, yabonye amajwi 500,147, angana na 8.79%, ihabwa imyanya 11.
Uko andi mashyaka yitwaye
Mu yandi mashyaka yabashije kubona imyanya muri Knesset, The Democrats iyobowe na Yair Golan yabonye amajwi 366,352, angana na 6.44%, ihabwa imyanya 8.
Ra’am iyobowe na Mansour Abbas yabonye amajwi 337,253, angana na 5.93%, ihabwa imyanya 8.
Yisrael Beiteinu iyobowe na Avigdor Lieberman yabonye amajwi 337,413, angana na 5.93%, ihabwa imyanya 7.
Otzma Yehudit iyobowe na Itamar Ben-Gvir yabonye amajwi 326,624, angana na 5.74%, ihabwa imyanya 7.
United Torah Judaism yabonye amajwi 312,604, angana na 5.49%, ihabwa imyanya 7.
Shas yabonye amajwi 299,506, angana na 5.26%, ihabwa imyanya 6.
Religious Zionism iyobowe na Bezalel Smotrich yabonye amajwi 290,451, angana na 5.10%, ihabwa imyanya 6.
Muri aya mashyaka, Likud ni yo yagize amajwi menshi, mu gihe Religious Zionism ari yo yagize make mu yabashije kwinjira muri Knesset.
Ku ruhande rw’amashyaka atavuga rumwe na Netanyahu, Yashar ni ryo ryagize amajwi menshi, mu gihe Yisrael Beiteinu ari ryo ryagize make mu mashyaka agize iryo huriro.
Uko impande zombi zihagaze mu Nteko
Ihuriro rishyigikiye Netanyahu, rigizwe ahanini n’amashyaka y’uruhande rw’iburyo n’ay’amadini, ryabonye imyanya 53 kuri 120. Mu Nteko yari isanzweho, iryo huriro ryari rifite imyanya 68, bivuze ko ryatakaje imyanya 15.
Ihuriro ritavuga rumwe na we, riyobowe na Gadi Eisenkot, ryabonye imyanya 48. Ririmo amashyaka arimo Yashar, B’Yachad, The Democrats na Yisrael Beiteinu.
Amashyaka ahagarariye Abarabu, arimo Joint List na Ra’am, hamwe yabonye imyanya 19.
Iyi mibare igaragaza ko amashyaka ahagarariye Abarabu afite umwanya ukomeye mu biganiro byo gushaka ubwiganze, nubwo atabarirwa mu ihuriro risanzwe rya Netanyahu cyangwa irimurwanya.
Amashyaka ahagarariye Abarabu yageze ku musaruro udasanzwe
Kimwe mu byaranze aya matora ni ukwiyongera gukomeye kw’imyanya y’abadepite bahagarariye Abarabu bo muri Israel.
Joint List na Ra’am hamwe byabonye imyanya 19, mu gihe mu Nteko yari isanzweho ayo mashyaka yari afite imyanya 10 gusa.
Ibi bivuze ko yiyongereyeho imyanya icyenda, hafi gukuba kabiri umubare yari asanzwe afite.
Uyu musaruro ufite uburemere mu mibare y’ubwiganze, kuko ayo mashyaka ashobora gufasha uruhande rutabonye imyanya 61 kugera kuri uwo mubare, mu gihe habonetse ubwumvikane bwa politiki.
Gusa kuba afite imyanya ishobora kugira uruhare mu biganiro ntibisobanuye ko azahita yumvikana n’andi mashyaka. Avigdor Lieberman yamaze kugaragaza ko adashyigikiye ubufatanye n’amashyaka ahagarariye Abarabu, ibintu bishobora kugora ihuriro rishaka gusimbura Netanyahu.
Amashyaka atageze ku gipimo fatizo ntiyabonye imyanya
Mu matora ya Israel, ishyaka rigomba kubona nibura 3.25% by’amajwi yemewe kugira ngo ribashe kubona imyanya muri Knesset.
Ishyaka The Reservists and the Economic Party ryabonye hafi 2.72%, bityo ntiribasha kwinjira mu Nteko.
People of Israel na ryo ryabonye hafi 1.68%, mu gihe Charedi Public ryabonye hafi 0.19%.
Aya mashyaka ntiyabashije kugera ku gipimo fatizo gisabwa, bityo ntiyabona imyanya muri Knesset.
Abaturage bitabiriye amatora ku kigero cya 77.9%
Amatora yitabiriwe ku kigero cya 77.9% by’abaturage bemerewe gutora, kikaba ari igipimo cyo hejuru ugereranyije n’amatora menshi yari aherutse kubera muri Israel.
Komisiyo y’Amatora yatangaje ko abaturage 5,716,665 bitabiriye amatora. Muri ayo majwi, 5,690,778 ni yo yemewe, mu gihe 25,887 yabaye impfabusa.
Ibi byerekana ko abaturage benshi bitabiriye amatora, ariko umubare munini w’abatoye utatumye uruhande urwo ari rwo rwose rubona ubwiganze buhagije.
Netanyahu ashobora gukomeza gutegeka cyangwa akava ku butegetsi?
Nubwo ihuriro rye ritabonye ubwiganze, Benjamin Netanyahu ntabwo yahise ava ku mwanya wa Minisitiri w’Intebe. Azakomeza kuyobora kugeza igihe hazashyirirwaho Guverinoma nshya hakurikijwe amategeko ya Israel.
Perezida Isaac Herzog ni we ufite inshingano zo kugirana ibiganiro n’abayobozi b’amashyaka, kumva abo bashyigikira no kumenya uwo babona ukwiriye guhabwa inshingano zo gushyiraho Guverinoma.
Biteganyijwe ko ibyavuye mu matora bizashyikirizwa Perezida ku itariki ya 04/11/2026, nyuma y’isuzuma rya nyuma ry’ibirego n’amakosa ashobora kuba yaragaragaye mu matora. Inteko nshya iteganyijwe kurahira ku itariki ya 10/11/2026.
Netanyahu ashobora kugerageza gushaka andi mashyaka yemera kumushyigikira kugira ngo agere ku myanya 61. Ku rundi ruhande, Gadi Eisenkot na we ashobora kugerageza kumvikana n’andi mashyaka kugira ngo ashyireho Guverinoma nshya.
Hari kandi amahirwe yo gushyiraho Guverinoma y’ubumwe igizwe n’amashyaka atandukanye. Mu gihe ibiganiro byananirana, Israel ishobora kongera kujya mu matora.
Icyakora, nta cyemezo cya nyuma kirafatwa ku ruhande ruzashyiraho Guverinoma nshya.
Impaka ku bivugwa ko habayeho kwivanga mu matora
Nyuma y’amatora, havutse impaka ku birego by’uko hashobora kuba harabayeho ibikorwa byo kwivanga mu matora, cyane cyane mu duce dutuwe n’abaturage b’Abarabu.
Abanyapolitiki bamwe bo mu ruhande rwa Likud bagaragaje impungenge ku bivugwa ko hashobora kuba harakoreshejwe amafaranga ava mu mahanga kugira ngo hagire uruhande rwungukira mu majwi.
Qatar yahakanye ibirego by’uko yaba yaragize uruhare muri ibyo bikorwa.
Komisiyo y’Amatora ya Israel yatangaje ko iperereza ku birego byatanzwe rikomeje, ariko ko nta bimenyetso byagaragaje ko habayeho kwivanga ku rwego rusange kwahungabanyije ubusugire bw’amatora cyangwa kwahinduye ibyavuye mu matora.
Bityo, ibyo birego bigomba gukomeza gufatwa nk’ibirego biri gukorwaho iperereza, aho kubifata nk’ibyemejwe.
Icyo ibyavuye mu matora bisobanuye kuri Israel
Ibyavuye muri aya matora bigaragaza ko Likud ya Benjamin Netanyahu ikomeje kuba ishyaka rifite amajwi menshi kurusha andi, ariko ko gutsinda mu majwi atari byo byonyine biha ishyaka cyangwa ihuriro ububasha bwo gushyiraho Guverinoma.
Ihuriro rye ryavuye ku myanya 68 ryari rifite mu Nteko yari ishize rigera kuri 53, mu gihe amashyaka atavuga rumwe na we n’ahagarariye Abarabu yabonye imyanya ishobora kugira uruhare rukomeye mu biganiro bizakurikiraho.
Ku rundi ruhande, kuba ihuriro rya Gadi Eisenkot na ryo ritabonye imyanya 61 bigaragaza ko guhindura ubuyobozi bwa Israel bitazashingira gusa ku kuba Likud yarabuze ubwiganze, ahubwo bizaterwa n’amasezerano azashobora kugerwaho hagati y’amashyaka atandukanye.
Ikibazo gikomeye kiri imbere ya Israel ni ukumenya niba Netanyahu azabasha kubona abafatanyabikorwa bashya, cyangwa niba amashyaka atavuga rumwe na we azashobora kumvikana agashyiraho ubuyobozi bushya.
Muri make, aya matora asize Israel nta ruhande rufite ubwiganze mu Nteko Ishinga Amategeko. Likud ya Benjamin Netanyahu ni yo yagize amajwi menshi, ariko ihuriro rye ribona imyanya 53, mu gihe abo batavuga rumwe na we babonye 48, naho amashyaka ahagarariye Abarabu akabona 19.
Uko ibiganiro bizagenda mu minsi iri imbere ni byo bizagena uzahabwa inshingano zo gushyiraho Guverinoma nshya n’icyerekezo cya politiki Israel izafata mu gihe kiri imbere.
MINEMBWE CAPITAL NEWS (MCN)