Iran mu Ihangana Rikomeye na Amerika na Israel: Isesengura ku Bisasu byafashwe n’Inzira ya Politiki ya Tehran
Mu gihe umwuka wa politiki n’umutekano ku rwego mpuzamahanga ukomeje kuzamba, cyane cyane hagati ya Iran, Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika na Israel, amakuru akomeje gukwirakwira avuga ko Iran yakusanyije ibisasu biturika byasizwe n’ibitero byagabwe ku butaka bwayo, bikaba biri kwigwaho mu rwego rwo kongera ubushobozi bwa gisirikare.
Amakuru aturuka mu nzego zitandukanye agaragaza ko Iran yamaze kwegeranya ibisasu bigera kuri 15 by’ubwoko butandukanye, birimo n’ibyo Amerika yarashe ariko ntibiturike. Muri ibyo, havugwamo cyane igisasu cya GBU-57, kizwi nka bunker buster, gikoreshwa mu gusenya ibirindiro byihishe mu butaka bwimbitse cyangwa mu buvumo bukomeye.
Ibi bisasu bivugwa ko byajyanywe mu bigo by’ubushakashatsi (laboratwari) bya Iran, aho abahanga mu bya gisirikare n’ubumenyi ngiro bari kubisesengura mu rwego rwo gusobanukirwa imikorere yabyo. Niba ibi byemezwa, bishobora gufasha Iran kubona ubumenyi bushya mu gukora intwaro zifite ubushobozi bwo kugera ku ntego zikomeye zirinzwe cyane, zirimo n’ibirindiro byo mu kuzimu.
Nubwo nta gihamya cyigenga kirashyirwa ahagaragara cyemeza aya makuru, abasesenguzi mu bya gisirikare bagaragaza ko kwiga ku bisasu by’umwanzi bishobora gufasha igihugu kubyigiraho, kubihindura cyangwa kubibyaza umusaruro mu nyungu zacyo. Ibi ni uburyo bwagiye bukoreshwa kenshi mu mateka y’intambara.
Ku ruhande rwa politiki, Iran ikomeje kugaragaza umurongo uhamye wo guhangana n’icyo yita “igitugu” cya Amerika na Israel mu karere k’Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati. Tehran ishyira imbere politiki yo kwigira, kwirinda kugengwa n’ibihugu byo mu Burengerazuba, no gushyigikira imitwe iyishyigikiye mu bihugu bitandukanye byo mu karere.
Iran isanzwe ishyirwa mu majwi n’ibihugu byo mu Burengerazuba ko ifasha imitwe nka Hezbollah muri Liban, Aba-Houthis muri Yemen, ndetse n’indi mitwe iri muri Syria na Iraq. Ibi Iran ibifata nk’uburyo bwo kwagura ubwirinzi bwayo no gukumira ibitero byayigabwaho.
Ku rundi ruhande, Amerika na Israel byo bikomeza kugaragaza impungenge zikomeye ku bijyanye na gahunda ya Iran yo guteza imbere ingufu za nucléaire, bashinja Tehran kuyikoresha mu nyungu za gisirikare, nubwo Iran yo ihamya ko ari gahunda igamije iterambere ry’ingufu z’amashanyarazi.
Nubwo hataraba intambara yeruye hagati y’izi mpande, ibikorwa bya gisirikare, ibitero byo mu kirere, ndetse n’intambara y’ikoranabuhanga (cyber warfare) bikomeje gufata indi ntera.
Niba koko Iran iri kwiga ku bisasu byayigabweho, bishobora kongera ubushobozi bwayo mu bya gisirikare, bigatuma uburinganire bw’ingufu mu karere burushaho guhinduka. Ibi bishobora kongera ubushyamirane, cyane cyane hagati yayo na Israel, igihugu kimaze igihe kigaragaza ko kitazemera ko Iran igira ubushobozi bwa nucléaire bwa gisirikare.
Iyi dosiye igaragaza neza uburyo ihangana hagati ya Iran, Amerika na Israel rikomeje gufata indi ntera, rishingiye ku ikoranabuhanga rya gisirikare, politiki yo kwirwanaho no kwagura ijambo ku rwego mpuzamahanga. Nubwo hari amakuru ataremezwa neza, biragaragara ko Iran iri mu rugendo rwo kongera imbaraga zayo mu buryo bwose bushoboka, ibintu bishobora kugira ingaruka zikomeye ku mutekano w’isi muri rusange.
